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The one thing that matters tonight
CoreWeave reported third-quarter revenue of $3.66 billion, above the $3.56 billion consensus in Bloomberg data, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to $13 billion to $13.3 billion from $12 billion to $13 billion, Yahoo Finance reported. Its shares were up 6.26% in after-hours trading at 6:01 PM CT (Yahoo Finance data). Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.39% and S&P 500 futures up 0.17% as of 5:52 PM CT (Yahoo Finance data).
Our read
Here's what jumps out: the market spent the day worrying about rates, and tonight it got a reason to feel better about AI. CoreWeave came in with a beat and a raise after weeks of worry about AI financing, Yahoo Finance noted. That doesn't change the Fed story one bit, but it gives tech a softer landing tonight than this afternoon suggested.
The reopen
- Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ): 27,945.00, up 0.39% as of 5:52 PM CT (Yahoo Finance data).
- S&P 500 futures (ES): 7,556.75, up 0.17% as of 5:52 PM CT (Yahoo Finance data).
- Gold futures (GC): $4,044.40, up 0.35% as of 5:52 PM CT, after today's drop (Yahoo Finance data).
- Nvidia was up 0.89% in after-hours trading at 6:01 PM CT, after closing down 5.47% (Yahoo Finance data).
Asia tonight
| Time CT | Market or event | Consensus | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 PM | Sydney (ASX) open | — | Already trading; reacting to the hot CPI print |
| 6:00 PM | Tokyo and Seoul open (already trading) | — | Chip-heavy markets; Nvidia fell 5.47% Tuesday, CoreWeave rose after hours |
| 7:30 PM | Hong Kong and Shanghai open | — | Mainland China and Hong Kong react to higher US yields |
| Wed | US bond markets closed for Veterans Day | — | SIFMA recommends a full close for Treasuries and other fixed income |
Carried over from the US session
- The S&P 500 closed down 0.38% and the Dow down 0.30% at 52,231.89 and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.74%, Reuters reported.
- Core CPI rose 0.3% in October for a third straight month, BLS data showed, above the 0.2% forecast in a Reuters poll.
- The 10-year Treasury yield rose 12.55 basis points to 4.988% and the two-year jumped 18.44 basis points to 4.731%, its biggest one-day jump since April 2025, Reuters reported.
- Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said Tuesday, in prepared remarks, that a "further gradual tightening seems appropriate," Reuters reported. Earlier, Fed Governor Waller and Dallas Fed President Logan opened the door to faster hikes.
- Traders priced a 91% chance of a quarter-point hike and a 9% chance of a half-point hike in December, according to CME FedWatch, CNN reported.
What could move NQ, ES and gold overnight (general tendencies, not predictions)
- With the cash Treasury market closed tomorrow (SIFMA recommendation), stock futures may lean more on earnings and Fed comments.
- Chipmakers in Tokyo and Seoul tend to move with Nvidia and AI news, so tonight they get both Nvidia's slide and CoreWeave's beat to weigh.
- Gold usually reacts to the dollar and rate-hike bets. After today's drop on hike talk, it's worth watching whether tonight's bounce holds.
What we're watching for the morning
- Does CoreWeave's beat carry into Wednesday's open, or does the rate story pull tech back down?
- Nvidia has fallen two straight days. Does it steady?
- With bonds closed, do more Fed officials keep the half-point talk going?
The short version (the what and the result)
- CoreWeave beat on revenue and raised its full-year outlook; its shares rose 6.26% after hours (Yahoo Finance).
- Nasdaq 100 futures +0.39%, S&P 500 futures +0.17%, gold futures +0.35% (5:52 PM CT, Yahoo Finance data).
- US bond markets are closed Wednesday for Veterans Day (SIFMA).
Sources
- Yahoo Finance: CoreWeave stock pops as Q3 revenue beats estimates, company raises full-year outlook
- Reuters (Yahoo Finance): US yields climb, stocks fall as inflation data boosts chances for larger Fed rate hike
- Reuters (Yahoo Finance): Fed's Paulson calls for gradual rate hikes amid ongoing high inflation
- CNN (Yahoo Finance): Bond yields surge most in 19 months as traders brace for Fed rate hikes
- SIFMA: Fixed income market close recommendation for Veterans Day 2026
- BLS: Consumer Price Index, October 2026
- Yahoo Finance: CoreWeave (CRWV)
- Yahoo Finance: Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F)
- Yahoo Finance: S&P 500 futures (ES=F)
- Yahoo Finance: Gold futures (GC=F)
- Yahoo Finance: NVIDIA (NVDA)
- The Retest: The Close, Nov. 10