Coming up
Official schedules · times CT · checked Nov 8Add every scheduled release to your calendar One file with every date through 2027, in US Central time. It doesn't update itself: if a date changes, we fix it here first.
Latest · The DiveSat, Nov 7 · Inflation (CPI) is Tue, Nov 10 · 7:30 AM CT
Inflation report Tuesday: what happened to your money the last three times the Fed started raising rates
Three times an inflation report landed right after the Fed started raising rates. What it meant at the kitchen table, in the markets and in a typical retirement account.
● Result added Wed, Nov 11: what really happened, next to the past cases.
383 releases and 124 Treasury auctions since October 2021, and counting. Last added: Producer prices (PPI) (Oct 2026), released Fri, Nov 13, 2026. A new row goes in after every report.
How this is built
- Each forecast names its poll or survey: Reuters, Dow Jones, Bloomberg or FactSet.
- Fed rows: the decision, range and dissents come from the Fed's statement. "Expected" is what reports said markets priced in beforehand.
- Stock moves are the day's closing change for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.
- Gold is labeled spot or futures, with the time when reported.
- CPI and PCE surprises are judged on core month over month when a named forecast exists, otherwise on headline year over year (noted on the row). PPI and retail sales are judged on the headline month over month; GDP on the annualized growth rate.
- Nvidia rows: revenue and outlook against a named analysts' average (LSEG, Zacks or Bloomberg). Nvidia reports after the close, so the stock, index and gold moves are the next trading day's.
- "Key figures sourced" means the actual numbers, a named forecast, both index closes and gold are all sourced. Any other figure we couldn't confirm is listed on the row.
- "Partial" means a key figure couldn't be confirmed, or a source fell short of our standard. We mark them; we never guess.
- "Developing" means it's release day: the official numbers are in, and the market reaction and closing figures are added as the day goes on.
| Event | Released | Actual vs expected | Surprise | Detail | Fed | S&P 500 | Nasdaq | Gold | Sourcing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPIOct 2026 | Tue, Nov 10, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2%Bloomberg survey | Hotter | not publishedheadline y/y · core y/y not published | Hiked in September; a December hike was 84% priced Monday and fully priced after the report3.75-4.00% | -0.38% | -0.74% | Spot -2% to $4,054.90 | Key figures sourcedDetails ▾ |
| Fed decisionOct 2026 | Wed, Oct 28, 20261:00 PM CT | HoldHold expected by market consensus (Kitco) | As expected | 3.75-4.00%target range | Holding at 3.75-4.00% | +0.3% | +0.3% | Spot $4,035.48/oz, down 0.60% | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Jobs reportOct 2026 | Fri, Nov 6, 20267:30 AM CT | +165K vs +65KReuters poll | Above | 4.1%jobless rate · exp. 4.2% | Held Oct 28 after the Sep 16 hike3.75-4.00% | +0.3% | +1.1% | Spot -0.89% to $4,050.95 in early U.S. trading after the report | Key figures sourcedDetails ▾ |
| PPIOct 2026 | Fri, Nov 13, 20267:30 AM CT | Headline +0.3% m/m vs +0.4%Reuters poll | Cooler | +6.5%headline y/y · core y/y not confirmed | Held last month; markets weighing a 25 bp vs 50 bp hike in December3.75-4.00% | not confirmed | not confirmed | not confirmed | Developing: close pendingDetails ▾ |
| Treasury auctionOct 2026 | Thu, Oct 8, 202612:00 PM CT | 30-year 5.618% vs not confirmedhigh yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury | not confirmed | 2.54bid-to-cover · $22B reopening | Hiked 25 bp to 3.75-4.00%3.75-4.00% | -0.5% | -1.3% | Spot +0.55% to $4,132.30, late U.S. trading | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Treasury auctionOct 2026 | Wed, Oct 7, 202612:00 PM CT | 10-year 5.300% vs not confirmedhigh yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury | not confirmed | 2.77bid-to-cover · $39B reopening | Hiked 25 bp to 3.75-4.00%3.75-4.00% | -0.2% | -0.2% | Spot -1.28% to $4,109.90, late U.S. trading | PartialDetails ▾ |
| CPISep 2026 | Wed, Oct 14, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2%Reuters poll (Reuters/Lucia Mutikani via Kitco off-the-wire) | Hotter | +3.7%headline y/y · core y/y +2.6% | Just hiked3.75-4.00% | -1.1% | -1.9% | Spot -1.7% to $4086.06 | Key figures sourcedDetails ▾ |
| Fed decisionSep 2026 | Wed, Sep 16, 20261:00 PM CT | Hike 25 bpHike expected by market consensus (Kitco) | As expected | 3.75-4.00%target range | Hiked 25 bp to 3.75-4.00% | not confirmed | not confirmed | Spot $4,310.10/oz, up 0.38% | PartialDetails ▾ |
| GDPQ3 2026 | Thu, Oct 29, 20267:30 AM CT | +3.4% vs +3.2%annualized · Reuters poll | Above | +3.8%consumer spending (annualized) | Holding3.75-4.00% | -0.3% | -1.4% | Spot $4,025.24/oz, -1.03% | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Jobs reportSep 2026 | Fri, Oct 2, 20267:30 AM CT | +29K vs +90KReuters poll (range 35k-180k) | Below | 4.2%jobless rate · exp. 4.1% | First hike in three years on Sep 163.75-4.00% | +0.7% | +1.14% | Spot -0.8% to -1.1% | PartialDetails ▾ |
| PCESep 2026 | Thu, Oct 29, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.3% m/m vs not confirmedNo named poll found | not confirmed | +3.6%headline y/y · core y/y +3.1% | Holding3.75-4.00% | -0.3% | -1.4% | Spot -1.03% to $4,025.24 | PartialDetails ▾ |
| PPISep 2026 | Thu, Oct 15, 20267:30 AM CT | Headline +1.3% m/m vs +0.5%Reuters poll | Hotter | +6.3%headline y/y · core y/y +5.0% | Hiked 25 bp on 2026-09-163.75-4.00% | +0.3% | +0.1% | Spot +1.20% to $4,154.16 | Key figures sourcedDetails ▾ |
| Retail salesSep 2026 | Thu, Oct 15, 20267:30 AM CT | +0.8% m/m vs +0.3%Reuters poll (AP cites FactSet 0.3 too) | Above | +0.1%control group m/m · exp. +0.3% | Hiked 25 bp on 2026-09-163.75-4.00% | +0.3% | +0.1% | Spot +1.20% to $4,154.16 | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Treasury auctionSep 2026 | Thu, Sep 10, 202612:00 PM CT | 30-year 5.308% vs not confirmedhigh yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury | not confirmed | 2.61bid-to-cover · $22B reopening | Holding at 3.50-3.75%3.50-3.75% | -0.6% | -0.7% | Spot -1.90% to $4,317.10, late U.S. trading | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Treasury auctionSep 2026 | Wed, Sep 9, 202612:00 PM CT | 10-year 4.834% vs not confirmedhigh yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury | not confirmed | 2.71bid-to-cover · $39B reopening | Holding at 3.50-3.75%3.50-3.75% | -0.5% | -0.6% | Spot +0.96% to $4,396.40, late U.S. trading | PartialDetails ▾ |
| CPIAug 2026 | Fri, Sep 11, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2%Reuters poll (Reuters via Kitco off-the-wire) | Hotter | +3.4%headline y/y · core y/y +2.4% | Holding3.50-3.75% | +0.9% | +1.0% | Spot +1.6% to $4385.14 | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Jobs reportAug 2026 | Fri, Sep 4, 20267:30 AM CT | +162K vs +56KReuters poll | Above | 4.1%jobless rate · exp. 4.1% | Holding3.50-3.75% | -0.38% | -0.29% | Spot -0.9% to $4432.58 | Key figures sourcedDetails ▾ |
| PCEAug 2026 | Wed, Sep 30, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.2% m/m vs not confirmedReuters poll (headline m/m only) | not confirmed | +3.4%headline y/y · core y/y +3.0% | Hiked 25 bp on 2026-09-163.75-4.00% | -0.3% | +0.2% | Spot +0.73% near $4,211.70 | PartialDetails ▾ |
| PPIAug 2026 | Thu, Sep 10, 20267:30 AM CT | Core +0.2% m/m vs not confirmedNo named poll found | not confirmed | +5.4%headline y/y · core y/y +4.6% | Holding3.50-3.75% | -0.6% | -0.7% | Spot -1.39% to $4,340.78 | PartialDetails ▾ |
| Retail salesAug 2026 | Wed, Sep 16, 20267:30 AM CT | +1.2% m/m vs +0.8%Reuters poll | Above | +1.4%control group m/m · exp. +0.4% | Holding3.50-3.75% | -0.4% | not confirmed | Spot +1.10% to $4,340.98 | PartialDetails ▾ |
Tue, Nov 10, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2% Hotter
Bloomberg survey
Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · 1:00 PM CT
Hold As expected
Hold expected by market consensus (Kitco)
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+165K vs +65K Above
Reuters poll
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Headline +0.3% m/m vs +0.4% Cooler
Reuters poll
Thu, Oct 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT
30-year 5.618% vs not confirmed
high yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury
Wed, Oct 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT
10-year 5.300% vs not confirmed
high yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2% Hotter
Reuters poll (Reuters/Lucia Mutikani via Kitco off-the-wire)
Wed, Sep 16, 2026 · 1:00 PM CT
Hike 25 bp As expected
Hike expected by market consensus (Kitco)
Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+3.4% vs +3.2% Above
annualized · Reuters poll
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+29K vs +90K Below
Reuters poll (range 35k-180k)
Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.3% m/m vs not confirmed
No named poll found
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Headline +1.3% m/m vs +0.5% Hotter
Reuters poll
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+0.8% m/m vs +0.3% Above
Reuters poll (AP cites FactSet 0.3 too)
Thu, Sep 10, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT
30-year 5.308% vs not confirmed
high yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury
Wed, Sep 9, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT
10-year 4.834% vs not confirmed
high yield vs pre-auction (when-issued) yield · Treasury
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.3% m/m vs +0.2% Hotter
Reuters poll (Reuters via Kitco off-the-wire)
Fri, Sep 4, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+162K vs +56K Above
Reuters poll
Wed, Sep 30, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.2% m/m vs not confirmed
Reuters poll (headline m/m only)
Thu, Sep 10, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
Core +0.2% m/m vs not confirmed
No named poll found
Wed, Sep 16, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT
+1.2% m/m vs +0.8% Above
Reuters poll
Tap any row for the first-minutes reaction where reported, other news that day, and every source. This is a historical record, not a prediction: past reactions don't tell you what happens next. Commentary and education only. Not financial advice.